It is with unbridled pleasure that I have finished reading a most wonderful and thought-provoking book of economic theory, Jane Jacobs paramount work “Cities and the Wealth of Nations“.
Her economic theory is founded upon the absolute requirement of cities. No city, no foundation for economy, other than a very basic subsistence form of economy. At the heart of her theory is the replacing of imports; a place that starts replacing imported goods with locally created ones automatically becomes a city. As it keeps doing this, the city grows, eventually giving birth to a region dominated by this city.
Expanding on this, she analyzes economies and draws several conclusions from this; that all schemes to support regions without import-replacing cities are doomed to failure; that efficiency improvements in rural economies can be disastrous for the economy in terms of unemployment. Her vision of an economy is not a functional system ruled by regulations and laws, but a living organism, growing and expanding on its own. Trying to transplant factories and foreign economic factors into this organism may, in fact, kill it.
The thing that stands out in her analysis is that there is no alternative to local small business. This is the very lifeblood upon which any economy lives or dies.
Another interesting point she makes is about currency: How the value of the currency is proportional to the strength of the city economy. (Forgive me if I misquote.) A nation’s currency is dominated by the largest city regions; and it will suit them the best. However, for smaller cities growing, the currency will provide what she calls “faulty feedback”, as they are out of sync with the dominating economy. As a result, nations will gradually begin concentrating their economic life to one, large city region. She takes France as an example, which is almost entirely dominated by Paris. Italy is dominated by the industrial north, Japan is increasingly dominated by Tokyo, and so on.
This gives birth to financial transactions, aimed at restoring the weaker regions and provide jobs and development; these transactions are, however, foreign aid to these smaller cities, and, like transplants, fail to stimulate the economy in a permanent way: they do not stimulate import-replacing businesses. Moreover, they sap the economic strength of the city region that provides the national economic growth; the further this process develops, the more stressing this situation will become. The nation will continue to be dominated by a large city region, who increasingly carries the burden of the rest of the nation out of sync with the currency valuation, and further and further “transactions of decline” are initiated.
Building on this, it is easy to show how all empires must fail, due to systemic economical difficulties built into the very structures of an empire. In this light, the implementation of the Euro is a bad idea: It will gradually become dominated by a fewer and fewer economical regions inside the EU, requiring all the more financial transactions to be made to “equalize” the lesser developed regions inside the EU, sapping the strength of the main city regions and ultimately dooming them to failure.
What is the answer to this? She sees one possible solution – a highly theoretical one, she admits, and rarely, if ever, tried in history.
As a nation grows and becomes stronger, building on a city region, and before too heavy support transactions come into play for its underdeveloped regions, the nation should split: Divide itself into two, with separate currencies, and, if necessary, tariffs to protect its internal markets in their infancy. As the new region grows stronger, the need for tariffs disappear. When this economy, in turn, becomes too large, it should split again, repeating the process as necessary. Their local currencies will always be in direct relation to the economic strength of their regions. Of course, pitfalls abound, but this way it will counteract the negative forces in play when the synchronization fails.
As controversial as it sounds (and I have little hope for its practical feasability), I find it attractive, because it provokes a vision of the world as a living organism, growing organically, and multiplying as cells do – by splitting. And in doing so, it is directly at odds with romantic dreams of uniting the whole world under one government and a single, worldwide economic system.
And that is why I want to believe in it. :)